- home
- Advanced Search
Filters
Clear All- SDSN - Greece
- Publications
- Ministry of Science, Education and ...
- EGI-INSPIRE
- SDSN - Greece
- Publications
- Ministry of Science, Education and ...
- EGI-INSPIRE
Loading
description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2013 Spain, France, France, CroatiaPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:EC | EGI-INSPIRE, EC | ECLISE, EC | IMPACT2C +1 projectsEC| EGI-INSPIRE ,EC| ECLISE ,EC| IMPACT2C ,MZOS| Climate variations and change and response in affected systemsVautard, Robert; Gobiet, Andreas; Jacob, Daniela; Belda, Michal; Colette, Augustin; Deque, Michel; Fernandez, Jesus; Garcia-Diez, Markel; Goergen, Klaus; Guttler, Ivan; Halenka, Tomas; Karacostas, Theodore; Katragkou, Eleni; Keuler, Klaus; Kotlarski, Sven; Mayer, Stephanie; Van Meijgaard, Erik; Nikulin, Grigory; Patarcic, Mirta; Scinocca, John; Sobolowski, Stefan; Suklitsch, Martin; Teichmann, Claas; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker; Yiou, Pascal;handle: 10261/94133
The ability of a large ensemble of regional climate models to accurately simulate heat waves at the regional scale of Europe was evaluated. Within the EURO-CORDEX project, several state-of-the art models, including non-hydrostatic meso-scale models, were run for an extended time period (20 years) at high resolution (12 km), over a large domain allowing for the first time the simultaneous representation of atmospheric phenomena over a large range of spatial scales. Eight models were run in this configuration, and thirteen models were run at a classical resolution of 50 km. The models were driven with the same boundary conditions, the ERA-Interim re-analysis, and except for one simulation, no observations were assimilated in the inner domain. Results, which are compared with daily temperature and precipitation observations (ECA&D and E-OBS data sets) show that, even forced by the same re-analysis, the ensemble exhibits a large spread. A preliminary analysis of the sources of spread, using in particular simulations of the same model with different parameterizations, shows that the simulation of hot temperature is primarily sensitive to the convection and the microphysics schemes, which affect incoming energy and the Bowen ratio. Further, most models exhibit an overestimation of summertime temperature extremes in Mediterranean regions and an underestimation over Scandinavia. Even after bias removal, the simulated heat wave events were found to be too persistent, but a higher resolution reduced this deficiency. The amplitude of events as well as the variability beyond the 90th percentile threshold were found to be too strong in almost all simulations and increasing resolution did not generally improve this deficiency. Resolution increase was also shown to induce large-scale 90th percentile warming or cooling for some models, with beneficial or detrimental effects on the overall biases. Even though full causality cannot be established on the basis of this evaluation work, the drivers of such regional differences were shown to be linked to changes in precipitation due to resolution changes, affecting the energy partitioning. Finally, the inter-annual sequence of hot summers over central/southern Europe was found to be fairly well simulated in most experiments despite an overestimation of the number of hot days and of the variability. The accurate simulation of inter-annual variability for a few models is independent of the model bias. This indicates that internal variability of high summer temperatures should not play a major role in controlling inter-annual variability. Despite some improvements, especially along coastlines, the analyses conducted here did not allow us to generally conclude that a higher resolution is clearly beneficial for a correct representation of heat waves by regional climate models. Even though local-scale feedbacks should be better represented at high resolution, combinations of parameterizations have to be improved or adapted accordingly. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. The EURO-CORDEX simulations and analysis were carried out in several groups within the framework of the IMPACT2C FP7 project (Grant FP7-ENV.2011.1.1.6-1). The BTU Cottbus offered an exchange ftp site for sharing all model simulation files. The contribution from CRP-GL was funded by the Luxembourg National Research Fund (FNR) through Grant FNR C09/SR/16 (CLIMPACT). We acknowledge financial support from the Spanish R&D program through Grants CGL2010-21869 (EXTREMBLES) and CGL2010-22158-C02-01 (CORWES). Charles University runs were supported partially in framework of the Research Plan of MSMT (No. MSM 0021620860) and GACR project No. P209/11/2405. The contribution from UHOH was funded by the German Science Foundation (DFG) through project FOR 1695. The REMO simulations were supported by CSC, MPI, as well as BMBF and performed under the ‘‘Konsortial’’ share at the German Climate Computing Centre (DKRZ), as well as the CCLM simulations carried out by BTU, which we are further thankful for their various support. We are thankful to the French CCRT/TGCC supercomputing center support and the CEA and GENCI computing resource allocation agency for the WRF-IPSL-INERIS runs. The development of the modeling chain at INERIS and IPSL was carried out in part within the French national project SALUT’AIR (PRIMEQUAL research program). Part of SMHI contribution was done in the ECLISE projects that receive funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007–2013) under Grant agreement 265240 and in the Swedish Mistra-SWECIA programme founded by Mistra (the Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research). DHMZ contribution was partially supported by the Croatian Ministry of Science, Education and Sports (Grant No. 004-1193086-3035). Peer Reviewed
Recolector de Cienci... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA; DIGITAL.CSICArticle . 2013 . 2014 . Peer-reviewedCroatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIArticle . 2013Data sources: Croatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://www.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00382-013-1714-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu275 citations 275 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!visibility 15visibility views 15 download downloads 36 Powered bymore_vert Recolector de Cienci... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA; DIGITAL.CSICArticle . 2013 . 2014 . Peer-reviewedCroatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIArticle . 2013Data sources: Croatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://www.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00382-013-1714-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu
Loading
description Publicationkeyboard_double_arrow_right Article 2013 Spain, France, France, CroatiaPublisher:Springer Science and Business Media LLC Funded by:EC | EGI-INSPIRE, EC | ECLISE, EC | IMPACT2C +1 projectsEC| EGI-INSPIRE ,EC| ECLISE ,EC| IMPACT2C ,MZOS| Climate variations and change and response in affected systemsVautard, Robert; Gobiet, Andreas; Jacob, Daniela; Belda, Michal; Colette, Augustin; Deque, Michel; Fernandez, Jesus; Garcia-Diez, Markel; Goergen, Klaus; Guttler, Ivan; Halenka, Tomas; Karacostas, Theodore; Katragkou, Eleni; Keuler, Klaus; Kotlarski, Sven; Mayer, Stephanie; Van Meijgaard, Erik; Nikulin, Grigory; Patarcic, Mirta; Scinocca, John; Sobolowski, Stefan; Suklitsch, Martin; Teichmann, Claas; Warrach-Sagi, Kirsten; Wulfmeyer, Volker; Yiou, Pascal;handle: 10261/94133
The ability of a large ensemble of regional climate models to accurately simulate heat waves at the regional scale of Europe was evaluated. Within the EURO-CORDEX project, several state-of-the art models, including non-hydrostatic meso-scale models, were run for an extended time period (20 years) at high resolution (12 km), over a large domain allowing for the first time the simultaneous representation of atmospheric phenomena over a large range of spatial scales. Eight models were run in this configuration, and thirteen models were run at a classical resolution of 50 km. The models were driven with the same boundary conditions, the ERA-Interim re-analysis, and except for one simulation, no observations were assimilated in the inner domain. Results, which are compared with daily temperature and precipitation observations (ECA&D and E-OBS data sets) show that, even forced by the same re-analysis, the ensemble exhibits a large spread. A preliminary analysis of the sources of spread, using in particular simulations of the same model with different parameterizations, shows that the simulation of hot temperature is primarily sensitive to the convection and the microphysics schemes, which affect incoming energy and the Bowen ratio. Further, most models exhibit an overestimation of summertime temperature extremes in Mediterranean regions and an underestimation over Scandinavia. Even after bias removal, the simulated heat wave events were found to be too persistent, but a higher resolution reduced this deficiency. The amplitude of events as well as the variability beyond the 90th percentile threshold were found to be too strong in almost all simulations and increasing resolution did not generally improve this deficiency. Resolution increase was also shown to induce large-scale 90th percentile warming or cooling for some models, with beneficial or detrimental effects on the overall biases. Even though full causality cannot be established on the basis of this evaluation work, the drivers of such regional differences were shown to be linked to changes in precipitation due to resolution changes, affecting the energy partitioning. Finally, the inter-annual sequence of hot summers over central/southern Europe was found to be fairly well simulated in most experiments despite an overestimation of the number of hot days and of the variability. The accurate simulation of inter-annual variability for a few models is independent of the model bias. This indicates that internal variability of high summer temperatures should not play a major role in controlling inter-annual variability. Despite some improvements, especially along coastlines, the analyses conducted here did not allow us to generally conclude that a higher resolution is clearly beneficial for a correct representation of heat waves by regional climate models. Even though local-scale feedbacks should be better represented at high resolution, combinations of parameterizations have to be improved or adapted accordingly. © 2013 Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg. The EURO-CORDEX simulations and analysis were carried out in several groups within the framework of the IMPACT2C FP7 project (Grant FP7-ENV.2011.1.1.6-1). The BTU Cottbus offered an exchange ftp site for sharing all model simulation files. The contribution from CRP-GL was funded by the Luxembourg National Research Fund (FNR) through Grant FNR C09/SR/16 (CLIMPACT). We acknowledge financial support from the Spanish R&D program through Grants CGL2010-21869 (EXTREMBLES) and CGL2010-22158-C02-01 (CORWES). Charles University runs were supported partially in framework of the Research Plan of MSMT (No. MSM 0021620860) and GACR project No. P209/11/2405. The contribution from UHOH was funded by the German Science Foundation (DFG) through project FOR 1695. The REMO simulations were supported by CSC, MPI, as well as BMBF and performed under the ‘‘Konsortial’’ share at the German Climate Computing Centre (DKRZ), as well as the CCLM simulations carried out by BTU, which we are further thankful for their various support. We are thankful to the French CCRT/TGCC supercomputing center support and the CEA and GENCI computing resource allocation agency for the WRF-IPSL-INERIS runs. The development of the modeling chain at INERIS and IPSL was carried out in part within the French national project SALUT’AIR (PRIMEQUAL research program). Part of SMHI contribution was done in the ECLISE projects that receive funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007–2013) under Grant agreement 265240 and in the Swedish Mistra-SWECIA programme founded by Mistra (the Foundation for Strategic Environmental Research). DHMZ contribution was partially supported by the Croatian Ministry of Science, Education and Sports (Grant No. 004-1193086-3035). Peer Reviewed
Recolector de Cienci... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA; DIGITAL.CSICArticle . 2013 . 2014 . Peer-reviewedCroatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIArticle . 2013Data sources: Croatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://www.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00382-013-1714-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu275 citations 275 popularity Top 1% influence Top 1% impulse Top 1% Powered by BIP!visibility 15visibility views 15 download downloads 36 Powered bymore_vert Recolector de Cienci... arrow_drop_down Recolector de Ciencia Abierta, RECOLECTA; DIGITAL.CSICArticle . 2013 . 2014 . Peer-reviewedCroatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIArticle . 2013Data sources: Croatian Scientific Bibliography - CROSBIadd ClaimPlease grant OpenAIRE to access and update your ORCID works.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.This Research product is the result of merged Research products in OpenAIRE.
You have already added works in your ORCID record related to the merged Research product.All Research productsarrow_drop_down <script type="text/javascript"> <!-- document.write('<div id="oa_widget"></div>'); document.write('<script type="text/javascript" src="https://www.openaire.eu/index.php?option=com_openaire&view=widget&format=raw&projectId=10.1007/s00382-013-1714-z&type=result"></script>'); --> </script>
For further information contact us at helpdesk@openaire.eu